Abundance from Abroad: Migrant Income and Long-Run Economic DevelopmentIndian Rupee

Abstract

We study how international migrant income prospects affect long-run development in origin areas. We leverage the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis exchange rate shocks in a shift-share identification strategy across Philippine provinces. Initial migrant income shocks are magnified six-fold over time, increasing domestic income, education levels, migrant skills, and high-skilled migration. Remarkably, 74.9 percent of long-run income gains come from domestic rather than migrant income. Trade driven impacts of exchange rate shocks are orthogonal to effects via migrant income. A structural model reveals that 19.7 percent of long-run income gains stem from educational investments. International migration fosters broad economic development in origin communities.

Publisher

American Economic Association

Publication Date

4-2026

Publication Title

American Economic Review

Department

Economics

Document Type

Article

DOI

https:doi.org/10.1257/aer.20241465

Keywords

International migration, Brain-drain, Emigration, Return, Immigration, Responses, Impacts, Access, Price

Language

English

Format

text

Share

COinS